{"id":3487,"date":"2026-06-29T02:24:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T02:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ds688.\/?p=3487"},"modified":"2026-06-29T12:39:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T12:39:27","slug":"prediction-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1fPolymarket\u3001Kalshi\u662f\u65b0\u8da8\u52e2\uff1f\u9084\u662f\u88ab\u5272\u97ed\u83dc\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd1\u5e74\u4f86<a href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/\">DS\u5927\u6012\u795e<\/a>\u767c\u73fe\u300c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u300d\u8a71\u984c\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u71b1\u9580\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u958b\u59cb\u597d\u5947<strong>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/strong>\uff0c\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u50cf<strong>Polymarket<\/strong>\u3001<strong>Kalshi<\/strong>\u9019\u985e\u5e73\u53f0\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u5168\u7403\u95dc\u6ce8\uff1f\u6709\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u9019\u662f\u7d50\u5408\u6578\u64da\u5206\u6790\u7684\u65b0\u578b\u5e02\u5834\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4eba\u64d4\u5fc3\u80cc\u5f8c\u662f\u5426\u85cf\u6709<strong>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19<\/strong>\u98a8\u96aa\u3002\u90a3\u9ebc<strong>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063<\/strong>\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\uff1f\u64cd\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u53c8\u548c\u50b3\u7d71\u6295\u6ce8\u6709\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e0d\u540c\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey 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href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/#%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E8%83%BD%E7%94%A8%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\" >\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/#%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%B8%B8%E8%A6%8B%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C_FAQ\" >\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u898b\u554f\u984c FAQ<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/#Q1%EF%BC%9A%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E4%B8%8A%E7%9A%84%E6%A9%9F%E7%8E%87%EF%BC%8C%E7%9C%9F%E7%9A%84%E6%9C%83%E6%AF%94%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF%E6%9B%B4%E6%BA%96%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\" >Q1\uff1a\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u6703\u6bd4\u6c11\u8abf\u66f4\u6e96\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li 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href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/#Q4%EF%BC%9A%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%B2%92%E6%9C%89%E8%8E%8A%E5%AE%B6%EF%BC%8C%E9%82%A3%E5%88%B0%E5%BA%95%E6%98%AF%E5%9C%A8%E8%B7%9F%E8%AA%B0%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%EF%BC%9F\" >Q4\uff1a\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6c92\u6709\u838a\u5bb6\uff0c\u90a3\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u5728\u8ddf\u8ab0\u4ea4\u6613\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/prediction-market\/#Q5%EF%BC%9A%E8%B2%B7%E4%BA%86%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%90%88%E7%B4%84%E5%BE%8C%EF%BC%8C%E5%8F%AF%E4%BB%A5%E6%8F%90%E5%89%8D%E9%80%80%E5%87%BA%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\" >Q5\uff1a\u8cb7\u4e86\u9810\u6e2c\u5408\u7d04\u5f8c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u524d\u9000\u51fa\u55ce\uff1f<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%98%AF%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"761\" src=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f.webp\" alt=\"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\" class=\"wp-image-3493\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f.webp 800w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f-300x285.webp 300w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f-768x731.webp 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8b93\u5927\u5bb6\u91dd\u5c0d\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u751f\u300d\u9032\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\u8207\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\u3002\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u5df1\u638c\u63e1\u7684\u8cc7\u8a0a\u3001\u5206\u6790\u8207\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u9078\u64c7\u770b\u597d\u6216\u4e0d\u770b\u597d\u67d0\u500b\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u5834\u50f9\u683c\u4e5f\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u4e0d\u65b7\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982<a href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/2026-world-cup-football\/\">2026\u4e16\u754c\u76c3<\/a>\u8ab0\u6703\u596a\u51a0\u3001\u67d0\u9805\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6703\u901a\u904e\u3001\u67d0\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u672a\u4f86\u8868\u73fe\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u9805\u76ee\u3002\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4e\uff0c\u67d0\u7a2e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u4e5f\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u5c0d\u8a72\u4e8b\u4ef6\u767c\u751f\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd1\u5e74\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53d7\u5230\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u5c31\u662f\u5b83\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u8207\u5373\u6642\u8cc7\u8a0a\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u50b3\u7d71\u6c11\u8abf\u3001\u65b0\u805e\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u65b0\u6d88\u606f\u51fa\u73fe\u7acb\u5373\u7522\u751f\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u5c11\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8207\u5206\u6790\u8005\u6703\u5c07\u5b83\u7576\u4f5c\u89c0\u5bdf\u5e02\u5834\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u53c3\u8003\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u76ee\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u61c9\u7528\u7bc4\u570d\u5305\u542b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u570b\u969b\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u9078\u8209\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u767c\u5c55\u7b49<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u8d70\u52e2<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u5229\u7387\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u8868\u73fe<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u696d\u767c\u5c55<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u65b0\u6280\u8853\u63a8\u51fa\u6216\u7522\u696d\u8da8\u52e2<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u9ad4\u80b2\u8cfd\u4e8b\u7d50\u679c<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u51a0\u8ecd\u9810\u6e2c\u3001\u6bd4\u8cfd\u7d50\u679c<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5a1b\u6a02\u7522\u696d\u8da8\u52e2<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\u96fb\u5f71\u7968\u623f\u3001\u7bc0\u76ee\u71b1\u5ea6<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%B9%B3%E5%8F%B0%EF%BC%8DPolymarket\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"424\" height=\"800\" src=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket.webp\" alt=\"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket\" class=\"wp-image-3490\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket.webp 424w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket-159x300.webp 159w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 424px) 100vw, 424px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dPolymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u77e5\u540d\u5ea6\u76f8\u7576\u9ad8\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5b83\u8b93\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u91dd\u5c0d\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u53ef\u80fd\u767c\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u300d\u9032\u884c\u9810\u6e2c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6700\u5f8c\u7d50\u679c\u7b26\u5408\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u7372\u5f97\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Polymarket\u7531Shayne Coplan\u65bc2020\u5e74\u5275\u7acb\uff0c\u5e73\u53f0\u5229\u7528\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u6280\u8853\u8207\u667a\u80fd\u5408\u7d04\u5efa\u7acb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u8b93\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u50b3\u7d71\u91d1\u878d\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u76f4\u63a5\u53c3\u8207\u5c0d\u300c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7d50\u679c\u300d\u7684\u5224\u65b7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728Polymarket\u4e0a\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u6ce8\u9805\u76ee\u90fd\u88ab\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u300d\u3002\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u5916\u532f\u9019\u985e\u50b3\u7d71\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u540c\uff0cPolymarket\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u516c\u53f8\u50f9\u503c\u6216\u8ca8\u5e63\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u60c5\u6700\u5f8c\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a2026\u4e16\u754c\u76c3\u51a0\u8ecd\u662f\u54ea\u652f\u968a\u4f0d\uff1f\u67d0\u90e8\u96fb\u5f71\u7968\u623f\u662f\u5426\u6703\u7a81\u7834\u7d00\u9304\uff1f\u67d0\u5834\u9078\u8209\u6700\u5f8c\u8ab0\u6703\u52dd\u51fa\uff1f\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u672a\u4f86\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6709\u660e\u78ba\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u80fd\u5920\u88ab\u9a57\u8b49\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u70ba\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u9805\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%B9%B3%E5%8F%B0%EF%BC%8DKalshi\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"419\" height=\"800\" src=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi.webp\" alt=\"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi\" class=\"wp-image-3491\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi.webp 419w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi-157x300.webp 157w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 419px) 100vw, 419px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0dKalshi<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi\u662f\u4e00\u5bb6\u4f86\u81ea\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u548c\u50b3\u7d71\u6295\u8cc7\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u8b93\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\u6216\u4ea4\u6613\u8ca8\u5e63\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u91dd\u5c0d\u300c\u672a\u4f86\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6703\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u751f\u300d\u9032\u884c\u9810\u6e2c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi\u4e0a\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7a2e\u985e\u975e\u5e38\u591a\u5143\uff0c\u5f9e\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u91d1\u878d\uff0c\u5230\u5929\u6c23\u3001\u5a1b\u6a02\u7b49\u751f\u6d3b\u76f8\u95dc\u8b70\u984c\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73fe\u3002\u50cf\u662f\u300c\u67d0\u9805\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6703\u901a\u904e\u300d\u3001\u300c\u67d0\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u5426\u6703\u9054\u6210\u7279\u5b9a\u76ee\u6a19\u300d\u3001\u300c\u67d0\u500b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u662f\u5426\u7a81\u7834\u9810\u671f\u300d\u7b49\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6700\u5f8c\u7d50\u679c\u80fd\u5920\u88ab\u660e\u78ba\u78ba\u8a8d\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u6210\u70ba\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi\u4e3b\u8981\u63a1\u7528\u300c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5408\u7d04\u300d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u904b\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u64da\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5224\u65b7\u9078\u64c7Yes\u6216No\u3002\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8a8d\u70ba\u67d0\u4ef6\u4e8b\u6703\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u5c31\u8cb7\u5165Yes\u5408\u7d04\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u8a8d\u70ba\u4e0d\u6703\u767c\u751f\uff0c\u5247\u9078\u64c7No\u5408\u7d04\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6bcf\u4efd\u5408\u7d04\u50f9\u683c\u6703\u843d\u57280\u52301\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u9593\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u500b\u50f9\u683c\u4e5f\u4ee3\u8868\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u5c0d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u767c\u751f\u6a5f\u7387\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\u4e00\u4efdYes\u5408\u7d04\u50f9\u683c\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u5e02\u5834\u666e\u904d\u8a8d\u70ba\u8a72\u4e8b\u4ef6\u767c\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u7b49\u5230\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7d50\u679c\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\uff0cKalshi\u6703\u4f9d\u7167\u6700\u7d42\u7d50\u679c\u9032\u884c\u7d50\u7b97\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9810\u6e2c\u6b63\u78ba\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u6b63\u78ba\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u5408\u7d04\u53ef\u7372\u5f971\u7f8e\u5143\u50f9\u503c\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u5224\u65b7\u932f\u8aa4\uff0c\u8a72\u5408\u7d04\u50f9\u503c\u5247\u6703\u6b78\u96f6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%AF%A6%E6%B8%ACKalshi%E8%88%87Polymarket%E5%85%A9%E8%80%85%E5%B0%8D%E6%AF%94\"><\/span>\u5be6\u6e2cKalshi\u8207Polymarket\u5169\u8005\u5c0d\u6bd4<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kalshi \u548c Polymarket \u90fd\u5c6c\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5dee\u5225\u5728\u65bc\u904b\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u8cc7\u7522\u4ee5\u53ca\u76e3\u7ba1\u74b0\u5883\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0cKalshi\u6bd4\u8f03\u504f\u5411\u50b3\u7d71\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u800cPolymarket\u5247\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u5e02\u5834\u73a9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>\u6bd4\u8f03\u9805\u76ee<\/th><th>Kalshi<\/th><th>Polymarket<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>\u5e73\u53f0\u985e\u578b<\/td><td>\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834<\/td><td>\u53bb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u4ea4\u6613\u65b9\u5f0f<\/td><td>\u4f7f\u7528\u9280\u884c\u8f49\u5e33\uff08ACH\uff09\u3001\u96fb\u532f\u3001\u7c3d\u5e33\u5361\u3001Apple Pay\u4ea4\u6613<\/td><td>\u4f7f\u7528USDC\u7a69\u5b9a\u5e63\u4ea4\u6613<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u5408\u7d04\u6a21\u5f0f<\/td><td>\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5408\u7d04<\/td><td>\u642d\u914dUMA\u9810\u8a00\u6a5f\u8207\u8a02\u55ae\u7c3f\u4ea4\u6613\u6a21\u5f0f<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u76e3\u7ba1\u72c0\u6cc1<\/td><td>\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u5546\u54c1\u671f\u8ca8\u4ea4\u6613\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\uff08CFTC\uff09\u76e3\u7ba1<\/td><td>\u63a1\u7528\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u6280\u8853\u904b\u4f5c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u4ea4\u6613\u7279\u8272<\/td><td>\u6d41\u7a0b\u8f03\u63a5\u8fd1\u50b3\u7d71\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834<\/td><td>\u64cd\u4f5c\u5f48\u6027\u8f03\u9ad8\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u53c3\u8207\u5ea6\u8f03\u9ad8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u63d0\u9818\u81f3\u9280\u884c<\/td><td>ACH \u76f4\u63a5\u5165\u5e33\u9280\u884c\uff0c\u7d04 1\u20132 \u500b\u5de5\u4f5c\u5929<\/td><td>\u9700\u7d93\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 Off-ramp\uff0c\u591a\u4e00\u9053\u8f49\u532f\u624b\u7e8c<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7d93<a href=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/\">DS\u5927\u6012\u795e<\/a>\u5be6\u6e2c\u904e\u5f8c\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0cKalshi\u56e0\u70ba\u53d7\u5230\u76e3\u7ba1\u6a5f\u69cb\u898f\u7bc4\uff0c\u5e73\u53f0\u904b\u4f5c\u76f8\u5c0d\u56b4\u8b39\uff0c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0a\u67b6\u8207\u4ea4\u6613\u6d41\u7a0b\u4e5f\u6703\u53d7\u5230\u8f03\u591a\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6574\u9ad4\u98a8\u683c\u6bd4\u8f03\u4fdd\u5b88\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u800cPolymarket\u5229\u7528\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u67b6\u69cb\u904b\u4f5c\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5c11\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u900f\u904e\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u53c3\u8207\u66f4\u591a\u5143\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ea4\u6613\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e5f\u6bd4\u8f03\u81ea\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5169\u8005\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u7570\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u6210\uff1aKalshi\u6bd4\u8f03\u50cf\u300c\u50b3\u7d71\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7248\u672c\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u5e73\u53f0\u300d\uff0c\u91cd\u8996\u5408\u898f\u8207\u5236\u5ea6\uff1bPolymarket\u5247\u50cf\u300c\u5340\u584a\u93c8\u7248\u672c\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u300d\uff0c\u5f37\u8abf\u958b\u653e\u6027\u8207\u9748\u6d3b\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%8A%95%E6%B3%A8%E8%A9%90%E9%A8%99%E8%A6%81%E5%B0%8F%E5%BF%83%EF%BC%81\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"483\" height=\"800\" src=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01.webp\" alt=\"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01\" class=\"wp-image-3492\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01.webp 483w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01-181x300.webp 181w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 483px) 100vw, 483px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6295\u6ce8\u8a50\u9a19\u8981\u5c0f\u5fc3\uff01<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u96a8\u8457\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u71b1\u9580\uff0c\u50cfPolymarket\u3001Kalshi\u9019\u985e\u5e73\u53f0\u53d7\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4e5f\u8b93\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e0d\u6cd5\u4eba\u58eb\u958b\u59cb\u5229\u7528\u300c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u300d\u3001\u300cAI\u5206\u6790\u300d\u3001\u300c\u9ad8\u52dd\u7387\u9810\u6e2c\u300d\u7b49\u8a71\u8853\u5438\u5f15\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u4e0a\u9264\u3002\u793e\u7fa4\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u7684\u964c\u751f\u79c1\u8a0a\u3001\u5047\u5192\u5e73\u53f0\u7db2\u7ad9\u3001\u5047\u6295\u8cc7\u7fa4\u7d44\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u8a50\u9a19\u4f86\u6e90<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u8a50\u9a19\u624b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5229\u7528\u5927\u5bb6\u60f3\u5feb\u901f\u7372\u5229\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\uff0c\u5ba3\u7a31\u81ea\u5df1\u6709\u300c\u5167\u90e8\u6d88\u606f\u300d\u3001\u300c\u5c08\u696d\u5718\u968a\u5206\u6790\u300d\u6216\u300c\u7a69\u8cfa\u7b56\u7565\u300d\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u52a0\u5165\u79c1\u4ebaLINE\u7fa4\u7d44\u3001\u652f\u4ed8\u6703\u54e1\u8cbb\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8981\u6c42\u5c07\u8cc7\u91d1\u4ea4\u7d66\u5c0d\u65b9\u4ee3\u70ba\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002\u9019\u985e\u8aaa\u6cd5\u901a\u5e38\u6703\u523b\u610f\u5f37\u8abf\u9ad8\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u537b\u907f\u958b\u98a8\u96aa\u8aaa\u660e\uff0c\u73a9\u5bb6\u9700\u8981\u7279\u5225\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u89ba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u53ef\u4ee5\u6ce8\u610f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5e7e\u9ede\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4e0d\u76f8\u4fe1\u300c100%\u6e96\u78ba\u300d\u3001\u300c\u4fdd\u8b49\u7372\u5229\u300d\u9019\u985e\u5ba3\u50b3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e0d\u96a8\u610f\u9ede\u64ca\u964c\u751f\u4eba\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\u9023\u7d50<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u78ba\u8a8d\u5b98\u65b9\u7db2\u7ad9\u8207\u5e33\u865f\u4f86\u6e90\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u9032\u5165\u4eff\u5192\u7db2\u7ad9<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e0d\u5c07\u5e33\u6236\u3001\u9322\u5305\u79c1\u9470\u6216\u9a57\u8b49\u8cc7\u8a0a\u63d0\u4f9b\u7d66\u4ed6\u4eba<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u53c3\u8207\u524d\u5148\u4e86\u89e3\u5e73\u53f0\u898f\u5247\u8207\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u7a0b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7c21\u55ae\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u672c\u8eab\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u900f\u904e\u8cc7\u8a0a\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u5224\u65b7\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7d50\u679c\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u4efb\u4f55\u5e73\u53f0\u90fd\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u4e00\u5b9a\u7372\u5229\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4eba\u6253\u8457\u300c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u9ad8\u624b\u300d\u3001\u300cAI\u795e\u6e96\u7cfb\u7d71\u300d\u7684\u540d\u7fa9\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u4f60\u6295\u5165\u5927\u91cf\u8cc7\u91d1\u6216\u4fdd\u8b49\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u5c31\u8981\u7279\u5225\u5c0f\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3%E8%83%BD%E7%94%A8%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"372\" src=/Other/ds688/"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f.webp\" alt=\"\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f\" class=\"wp-image-3489\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f.webp 1000w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f-300x112.webp 300w, https:\/\/ds688.\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f-768x286.webp 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u53f0\u7063\u80fd\u7528\u55ce\uff1f<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f88\u591a\u53f0\u7063\u73a9\u5bb6\u5728\u4e86\u89e3\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5f8c\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u662f\uff1a\u300c\u90a3\u53f0\u7063\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u73a9\u55ce\uff1f\u300d\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u60c5\u6cc1\u4f86\u770b\uff0cPolymarket \u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u5efa\u7acb\u6b63\u5f0f\u5408\u898f\u7684\u71df\u904b\u67b6\u69cb\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u5e73\u53f0\u6d89\u53ca\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u4ea4\u6613\u3001\u8de8\u5883\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u52d5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u90e8\u5206\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5177\u6709\u985e\u4f3c\u6295\u6ce8\u7684\u6027\u8cea\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u53f0\u7063\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u53c3\u8207\u6642\u9700\u8981\u7279\u5225\u6ce8\u610f\u76f8\u95dc\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p 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rel=\"noopener\">DS\u5927\u6012\u795e\u5a1b\u6a02\u57ce<\/a>\u5c31\u6709\u63d0\u4f9b\u570b\u969b\u76e4\u904b\u5f69\u73a9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8b93\u73a9\u5bb6\u80fd\u900f\u904e\u904b\u5f69\u570b\u969b\u76e4\u6295\u6ce8\u4efb\u4f55\u9ad4\u80b2\u8cfd\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E5%B8%B8%E8%A6%8B%E5%95%8F%E9%A1%8C_FAQ\"><\/span>\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u5e38\u898b\u554f\u984c FAQ<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n<div id=\"rank-math-faq\" class=\"rank-math-block\">\n<div class=\"rank-math-list \">\n<div id=\"faq-question-1782723007023\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Q1%EF%BC%9A%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E4%B8%8A%E7%9A%84%E6%A9%9F%E7%8E%87%EF%BC%8C%E7%9C%9F%E7%9A%84%E6%9C%83%E6%AF%94%E6%B0%91%E8%AA%BF%E6%9B%B4%E6%BA%96%E5%97%8E%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>Q1\uff1a\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u6703\u6bd4\u6c11\u8abf\u66f4\u6e96\u55ce\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>A\uff1a\u6709\u4e9b\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u78ba\u5be6\u5c55\u73fe\u51fa\u4e0d\u932f\u7684\u5224\u65b7\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4f8b\u59822024\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u5927\u9078\u671f\u9593\uff0cPolymarket\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u9810\u6e2c\u66fe\u53d7\u5230\u8a31\u591a\u95dc\u6ce8\uff0c\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u8a8d\u70ba\u5b83\u5728\u90e8\u5206\u968e\u6bb5\u6bd4\u50b3\u7d71\u6c11\u8abf\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u5834\u770b\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1782723007988\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Q2%EF%BC%9A%E4%BD%BF%E7%94%A8%E9%A0%90%E6%B8%AC%E5%B8%82%E5%A0%B4%E6%9C%80%E5%A4%A7%E7%9A%84%E6%88%90%E6%9C%AC%E6%98%AF%E4%BB%80%E9%BA%BC%EF%BC%9F\"><\/span>Q2\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6210\u672c\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"rank-math-answer \">\n\n<p>A\uff1a\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u4ee5\u70ba\u9810\u6e2c\u5e02\u5834\u4e3b\u8981\u6210\u672c\u5c31\u662f\u4ea4\u6613\u8cbb\uff0c\u4f46\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u4f7f\u7528\u52a0\u5bc6\u8ca8\u5e63\u5e73\u53f0\u6642\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f86\u81ea\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"faq-question-1782723008927\" class=\"rank-math-list-item\">\n<h3 class=\"rank-math-question \"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" 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